David Jessop (Puerto Rico Tribune) reports that on Thursday, November 9th, CARICOM’s Council for Trade and Economic Development (COTED) meeting opened to discuss topics such as recommendations that will determine whether the sugar industry has a future.
This long overdue discussion will explore whether there are ways in which the region’s cane sugar producers, through tariffs and other measures, can redirect its output towards meeting the CARICOM market’s requirements.
Just over a month ago, on October 1, the industry lost the last vestige of its preferential market in Europe, as the EU abolished national sugar production quotas in Europe as part of a long-planned measure. The effect, according to industry analysts, is that the price paid for African, Caribbean and Pacific, (ACP), cane sugar will very rapidly reduce and, as Europe becomes self-sufficient in beet sugar and begins to export, cane sugar imports into Europe will fall to zero. They also suggest that this will depress world market prices.
Once EU production rises to more than 3m tonnes per annum, the price of its sugar will converge with and depress already low world market prices, reducing global demand for cane sugar from high cost producers in the least developed countries and the ACP by around 1m tonnes per annum.
This and the expected return of the global sugar market to surplus next year means that CARICOM will, before long, cease to have any significant export market. Although some industries are developing coping strategies through the introduction of mechanical harvesting, sugar refining and the production of food grade sugar for export; this is unlikely to be enough.
In a belated response to what is an existential threat, the industry in the Caribbean has developed recommendations on the way in which CARICOM can now address the issue, preventing the likely crisis that will otherwise occur if nothing is done. These largely stem from a sugar industry workshop held in Jamaica earlier this year which considered the future for sugar in the four remaining CARICOM sugar-exporting countries: Barbados, Belize, Guyana and Jamaica.
At the conference, all participants accepted that without some form of remedial action at a regional level, the restructuring of the EU market would eventually result in an end to the production of raw sugar on a significant scale in CARICOM, unless almost all of its future production can be sold into the regional market.
As matters stand, some 0.2m tonnes of the 0.3m tonne CARICOM market for food grade sugars and white sugar is met from external sources. This is despite there being a common external tariff which, in theory, is meant to afford a high degree of protection to the single market’s sugar producers.
Why the regional market has failed in this way varies from country to country, but generally reflects governments setting aside through tariff waivers and safeguard mechanisms the present common external tariff on imported sugars; usually under pressure from domestic food and soft drink producers, citing failure of regional supply for the specific sugars they require.
It is true that in the past the sugar industry has not been a reliable supplier to regional industrial users – it chose to prioritize supplying Europe where prices were higher – but that situation has now changed dramatically.
There is a surplus of regional supply available and as one recent soon to be published independent study suggests, up to 99% of the refined sugars presently imported into the region could easily be substituted by regionally produced ‘plantation white’ with no or low-level investment by industrial users.
To protect and give a future to the regional sugar industry and the 40,000 people that it employs, the regional sugar industry is proposing that COTED agree to apply on a uniform basis, a common external tariff (CET). This, it is suggested, should be set at 40 per cent on all imported raw and brown sugar and refined sugar from outside the Caribbean single market. The industry also believes that the time has come for the regional market to be managed and policed rigorously.
However, central to the future success or failure of the region’s sugar producers desire to develop a protected market, will be achieving a wider understanding of the likely price impact on soft drinks, confectionary, sweetened milk, and bakery products, and the consequent reaction of the industries concerned and consumers. [. . .]
[Workers collect sugar cane at a plantation near Santa Cruz de El Seibo, in eastern Dominican Republic, on January 9, 2017. A cane cutter in the Dominican Republic earns the equivalent of approximately four US dollars (180 RD) per ton cut. Last year sugar production in the country recorded a milling of 3,980,684 metric tons of sugarcane (Photo credit: ERIKA SANTELICES/AFP/Getty Images)]